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What the Undertaxed Profits Rule's second year actually signals

What the Undertaxed Profits Rule's second year actually signals

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By:
Nadya Britton ,
Nadya Britton
October 8, 2026
7 min
October 8, 2026
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This is some text inside of a div block.

The Undertaxed Profits Rule (UTPR) went live across dozens of jurisdictions in fiscal year 2025, and it reignited a familiar assumption: Groups with an intermediate parent in an IIR jurisdiction don't have much to worry about — however, that assumption is wrong more often than groups think.

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Key insights:

  • Year one ran on inconsistent rules and manual data collection — We saw early that each country implements Pillar 2 differently, forcing multinational enterprises to track effective tax rates jurisdiction by jurisdiction with far more granular data than their existing systems could handle.
  • The UTPR isn't the marginal rule most groups assumed — Whether an intermediate entity actually has a qualifying IIR to apply, not the size of the ownership stake, determines whether UTPR exposure goes to zero or the full amount.
  • Safe harbor relief is running out before its replacement is ready — The temporary UTPR safe harbor only covers fiscal years beginning on or before December 31, 2025, and its intended permanent successor depends on a "Qualified UPE Regime" status the OECD has granted to almost no jurisdictions thus far.

Every explanation of the Undertaxed Profits Rule (UTPR) starts the same way: It's just a backstop, the rule that mops up whatever the Qualifying Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (QDMTT) and Income Inclusion Rate (IIR) didn't catch. That framing is accurate, and it's also exactly why so many groups stopped paying attention to the UTPR. If the parent company sits somewhere with a qualifying IIR, the thinking goes, the whole group is covered.

Unfortunately, that logic only holds if IIR coverage is complete, and completeness is an entity-by-entity test, not a group-level one, explains a recent webinar.

Why identical structures receive different bills

The model rules set up by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) contains two provisions that govern how the UTPR interacts with an existing IIR, and the Consolidated Commentary spells out how the two provisions diverge. Under Article 2.5.2, if every bit of a parent's ownership interest in a low-taxed entity runs through entities that are applying a qualified IIR, the UTPR amount for that entity drops to zero, even alongside a real third-party minority stake.

Under Article 2.5.3, however, if any piece of that ownership doesn't run through a qualifying IIR entity, the exclusion rule stops applying entirely, and the UTPR is only reduced by whatever the IIR collected. Nothing more.

PwC's analysis of the Commentary makes the stakes plain: Article 2.5.3 expands UTPR's scope specifically where minority shareholders are involved, so a group can end up bearing top-up tax that economically belongs to a third-party investor with no ownership relationship to the parent at all. To illustrate, imagine two structures with the exact same ownership split: 80% held by the parent company through a chain applying a qualifying IIR, and 20% held by an unrelated investor. If that chain covers 100% of the low-taxed entity's ownership, the exclusion rule zeroes out the UTPR completely. If even a sliver of the chain runs through a jurisdiction that has no qualifying IIR, the exclusion rule cannot apply at all, and the full amount — not just the parent's share — lands in the UTPR pool instead.

Same structure, opposite bill. That's why the calculation has to run entity by entity. And any group-level check for IIR coverage will not catch this.

Further, once a UTPR amount exists, allocating it adds one more layer. The OECD's formula splits the pool 50% by employee headcount and 50% by tangible asset value, with no reference to where the underlying low-taxed profit came from. And the number of jurisdictions running that formula keeps growing. More than 50 had enacted Pillar 2 legislation by our count heading into FY25, with trackers like oecdpillars.com and BDO showing new guidance still accelerating throughout 2026.

The data behind the rule

Because the OECD's allocation formula runs on employee headcount and net book value of tangible assets by jurisdiction, the two inputs that determine how much UTPR tax lands where actually come out of payroll and fixed-asset systems, not the general ledger.

That's the same gap we have pointed to more broadly as the tortured journey of data that exists inside most tax functions — the numbers a filing needs rarely live in a system the corporate tax team controls.

Thomson Reuters Institute's 2026 Corporate Tax Department Technology Report backs this up. Almost two-thirds (64%) of corporate tax professionals surveyed said their department still sit at the chaotic or reactive end of the technology maturity curve. And while that's up from 57% the year before, it still means that most corporate tax departments are pulling this kind of cross-system data by hand.

Fortunately, there's a brighter number buried in the same report. The share of tax professionals who say their departments now have someone formally responsible for tax technology strategy jumped from 88% — a 37-percentage point leap — in a single year. The right person is at least now in the room to push for the payroll and fixed-asset connections that proper accounting for the UTPR requires.

The real question for tax leaders

Indeed, this is really the question year two of the UTPR should raise for corporate tax leaders. Not whether your group has an IIR somewhere in the chain — almost every group does — but rather, whether the entity actually holding your low-taxed profit is fully covered by it, or whether there's a gap in that coverage nobody has checked yet.

Not surprisingly, that's the same problem that made year one so hard. Needed data was sitting in a system that the corporate tax team doesn't own, but is just showing up in a new place. Except now that misalignment doesn't just threaten filing accuracy; it threatens the safe harbor that many relief groups are counting on to avoid this math altogether — relief that, for most jurisdictions, was never actually available in the first place.

You can learn more about the challenges faced by corporate tax functions here

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What the Undertaxed Profits Rule's second year actually signals
The Undertaxed Profits Rule (UTPR) went live across dozens of jurisdictions in fiscal year 2025, and it reignited a familiar assumption: Groups with an intermediate parent in an IIR jurisdiction don't have much to worry about — however, that assumption is wrong more often than groups think.
October 8, 2026
7 min
Corporate Tax
Nadya Britton
Senior Manager of Enterprise Content for Tax & Accounting, Trade
Thomson Reuters Institute
Headshot of Nadya Britton
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