Modern financial crime is being reshaped by partnerships between traditional banking, FinTech firms, and transnational criminal networks that use hybrid methods like underground banking, mirror-trade commodity flows, and crypto to move and disguise illicit money
Key insights:
-
-
-
Old laundering patterns have modern wrappers— Nefarious actors now cooperate to move value through mirror-trade commodity flows and sometimes crypto, blending legal transactions with illicit proceeds.
-
FinTech expands laundering options— Peer-to-peer apps, reloadable cards, kiosks, and virtual assets allow for the execution of many small conversion transactions that break up funds and blur clean-to-dirty movement.
-
Fraud scales cheaply in an AI era— As cash use drops, scams and extortion become lower-risk and easier to industrialize — sometimes through forced-labor scam operations — making verification and policy adaptation urgent.
-
-
When incentives align, strangers can become business partners. In the 21st century, traditional finance, banking, and cash payments have been disrupted by a watershed of technological advances for which we are all unprepared. This time of crisis and opportunity has created an unexpected alliance between FinTech firms and traditional banking institutions.
To fight financial crime, however, it is important to deal with the ever-evolving ways for currency to change forms and change hands across vast distances. This new way of moving money mirrors ancient systems of debt ledgers & interpersonal trust, often known as Hawala or Fei Chien. Criminals continue to innovate with both methods, creating unsettling partnerships.
The cartel-business partnership
Cartels, underground banking networks, and legitimate businesses now collaborate — sometimes unwittingly — to launder money by moving value through mirror-trade commodity flows and cryptocurrency, merging legal trade with illegal profits. Near-cash-style FinTech methods — such as peer-to-peer apps, reloadable cards, kiosks, and virtual assets — can expand laundering opportunities by enabling numerous small conversion transactions that fragment funds and obscure the movement of illicit money. As cash use declines, fraud, including scams and extortion (sometimes executed through forced-labor scam operations) becomes less risky and easier to scale in the AI era, underscoring the urgent need for verification and policy adaptation.
The flow of illicit cash also extends to digital assets. Some of the cash money that gets stuffed into bitcoin ATM-style kiosks is from the drug trade. Indeed, the U.S. Treasury Department’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) issued an alert on this topic as well and, while the two schemes seem distinct, we can speculate that some of the resulting Bitcoin, crypto, or other virtual assets went to underground bankers facilitating a mirror trade for a countryman.
What is old is new again
In the world of finance, the dawning of a new era of digital, on-demand, borderless transactions provides access to an exciting frontier of possibility. New coins, new blockchain tokenization uses, and new FinTech tools with cool names are all rising and falling faster than the price of bitcoin.
The players in this intersection have figured out that trade is profitable, and legal trade leading to illicit substance trade is even more profitable. Underground shipping, sanctions evasion, and dark web services for money laundering are all profitable by themselves, and when combined, they represent an illicit economic blitzkrieg.
Cartels, underground banking networks, and legitimate businesses now collaborate — sometimes unwittingly — to launder money by moving value through mirror-trade commodity flows and cryptocurrency.
Crypto is the new Hawala or Fei Chien because, with no bank or government involved, people can keep common copies of a ledger instead of relying on a hawaladar or Chinese underground banker to keep records. Virtual assets could facilitate the currency side of mirror trades, refilling a person’s coffers via digital transfer which can then be moved to an exchange and on to a local bank.
Commodities are the new cash because mirror trades are physically settled in commodities. For example, investment in source chemicals for drugs, negotiated at a discount, helps expand the illicit cartel business. Similarly, one-off items can be used for large-cash replacement transactions.
FinTech is the new money service business (MSB). We know that they are regulated the same but often serve different market segments, and many now exchange government fiat currency for one or more forms of cryptocurrency. Money laundering thrives on breaking up funds into smaller amounts to avoid reporting; therefore, a multitude of near-cash options like peer-to-peer payment apps, reloadable cards, and virtual assets help the launderer with this problem.
One might imagine that lower-tier street dealers could have several peer-to-peer payment app accounts for ease of use, because although the criminal is running an illicit business, it’s a business, nonetheless. Industry experts call these small payments conversion transactions because they usually come from a clean, legitimate payroll source but are converted to dirty funds when spent on an illicit substance or activity.
Fraud is low risk and AI fuels the fire
In this rapid-fire digital transaction world, fraud is the new mugging, complete with racketeering and slave labor farms. The profit margin on physical intimidation has gone down because people use cash less often, and many seldom carry it at all.
Due to digital innovation, communication technology, and AI, however, the barrier to entry for fraudulent theft, extortion, or scamming has gone down dramatically as well. Presumably, the margins are high because the ability to fraudulently communicate has become exponentially enabled by these tech advances. Fraud and scams are ubiquitous to the point of impeding legitimate business from communicating with customers effectively.
The players in this intersection have figured out that trade is profitable, and legal trade leading to illicit substance trade is even more profitable.
Further, slave labor has reared its ugly head in yet another strange intersection among these many things. Fraudsters in Southeast Asia build warehouses filled with tech and then force local people to operate scams and fraud schemes at scale. Aggregated funds from these efforts are sometimes moved via commodity or artifact, but often these funds are gathered from kiosks or peer-to-peer apps and then moved through cryptocurrency transactions until they become increasingly arduous to track.
Looking to the new dawn
It seems every few minutes brings us a new tool, a new opportunity, a new way to move money, and a new way to get scammed out of it all. This expanding capability is fueled by GenAI and even more advanced forms of AI. Business expands, productivity expands, and resources are consumed faster. Fraud is enabled, scaled, and seems to hang in the very air.
With the proliferation of digital, borderless, and AI-enabled everything, the human touch is more important than ever. Business owners note that requests for memorabilia and other tokens of physical value continue to rise. Cash will not go away, but its share of transactions is already diminished with the advent of crypto, new intersections in commodity exchange, and other person-to-person ways to settle accounts.
For the financial institutions, government agencies, and fintech firms that populate this world, creating informed best-practices and sensible policy documents is critical at this phase of innovation. Without a proactive approach we cannot hope to stay ahead of criminals and keep legitimate markets secure.
You can find out more about how organizations are using new methods to detect and prevent financial fraud here
